Why is Gautam Adani’s Indian empire in turmoil?

Why is Gautam Adani’s Indian empire in turmoil?

The business empire of Gautam Adani is in mayhem, losing more than $100 billion in value and sending the Indian tycoon tumbling down the global rich list after allegations of major accounting fraud.

Who is Gautam Adani?

Adani, 60, is a publicity-shy school dropout of humble origins who rose to become fabulously rich.

Moving to Mumbai in his teens to work sorting diamonds, he formed his own import-export business. His big break came in 1995 when he acquired a shipping port just as India’s economy was opening up.

Today, Adani Group has interests in everything from power generation and Australian coal mines to cement, media, food and Israeli ports. Its seven main listed units had a combined market value in January of around $220 billion.

The meteoric rise in the share prices of Adani’s units — the flagship Adani Enterprises rose more than 1,000 per cent in five years — has helped make Adani fabulously wealthy and fund further expansion.

Until last week, Adani had amassed a fortune of $130 billion to make him Asia’s richest man and the third wealthiest overall behind only Elon Musk and Bernard Arnault and family, according to Forbes.

What has been alleged?

On 24 January, Hindenburg Research — an activist US investment group that bets on stocks falling — accused Adani Group of committing “a brazen stock manipulation and accounting fraud scheme over the course of decades”.

This included funnelling money from offshore accounts controlled by Adani’s brother Vinod Adani into listed units to inflate their share prices.

Critics say Adani’s closeness to Prime Minister Narendra Modi, a fellow Gujarati, has helped him win business unfairly and avoid proper oversight.

The group’s breakneck expansion into multiple new business areas has also pushed up debts to levels that have worried some financial experts.

To reduce its leverage, Adani has secured billions in dollars of investment from abroad, including from French oil major TotalEnergies and the United Arab Emirates’ International Holding Company (IHC).

What has happened this past week?

The Hindenburg report has sparked a huge sell-off in shares in Adani’s firms, wiping out more than $100 billion in market value as of Thursday, according to Bloomberg News. Trading in some stocks has had to be repeatedly halted.

Adani’s personal wealth has dived by around $60 billion and he has tumbled down the real-time Forbes rich list to number 16 as of Thursday morning, losing his crown as Asia’s richest man to Indian Mukesh Ambani.

Swiss banking giant Credit Suisse and Citigroup in the United States have stopped accepting Adani bonds as collateral for loans it advances to private banking clients, Bloomberg reported, creating further panic.

The timing of the allegations was also terrible, coming just as Adani was seeking to raise $2.5 billion to strengthen its finances with a share sale.

The issue failed to attract ordinary “mom and dad” investors as hoped and only succeeded thanks to large institutional investors, some fellow Indian tycoons and $400 million from IHC.

Late Wednesday, Adani cancelled the sale and announced that all investors would be refunded, saying that going ahead would “not be morally correct”.

How has Adani reacted?

On 25 January, Adani’s finance chief called the Hindenburg report a “malicious combination of selective misinformation and stale, baseless and discredited allegations that have been tested and rejected by India’s highest courts”.

On Sunday the firm issued a 413-page statement that it said rebutted all of Hindenburg’s claims, calling it an attack on the “growth story and ambition of India”.

Hindenburg said Adani’s statement failed to answer most of the questions raised in its report.

On Thursday the tycoon released a video message to investors insisting that the fundamentals of his group are “strong” and that its record on paying back debt was “impeccable”.


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