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Singapore’s unemployment rate goes up for the first time in 10 months by 0.2% in July

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The unemployment rates of Singapore’s resident and citizen went up in July by 0.2 percent respectively, and this jump happened for the first time in 10 months following tightened COVID-19 restrictions under Phase 2 (Heightened Alert).

Based on figures released by the Ministry of Manpower (MOM) on Monday (6 September), it showed that resident unemployment rate increased from 3.5 to 3.7 percent, while unemployment among Singapore citizen rose from 3.7 to 3.9 percent.

The overall unemployment rate in July was 2.8 percent, which is an increase from 2.7 percent in June.

Manpower Minister Tan See Leng said in a Facebook post on Monday that the rise in unemployment most likely reflected “a dip in demand for manpower in affected sectors such as F&B and retail trade”.

Singapore moved to Phase 2 (Heightened Alert) from 22 July to 18 August after rising number of COVID-19 cases were reported in the country due to the-then growing Jurong Fishery Port clusters. The measures to curb the spike in cases include prohibiting dining-in at all F&B establishments and reducing the size of social group from a maximum of five people to two.

“We will continue to monitor the unemployment rates closely. The Singapore Ministry of Manpower will also provide a more comprehensive update in our Labour Market Report later this month,” said Dr Tan.

In his post, Dr Tan also said that the measures will be relaxed soon as more sectors reopens and this will boost manpower demand and recover the labour market.

“As Singapore moves towards becoming a COVID-resilient nation, measures will be relaxed further as more sectors of our economy reopen,” he said.

He also encouraged “companies to constantly pursue innovation and review their business operations to meet the changing needs of the economy”.

“Jobseekers can also tap on initiatives such as the SGUnited Jobs and Skills Package to be placed into jobs and skills opportunities.”

Commenting on the rise in unemployment rate, analysts pointed out that this figures are expected given the temporary measures implemented to curb the spread of COVID-19 under Phase 2 (Heightened Alert.

“Since then, the vaccination rates have reached targets and there is a phased reopening ahead, so I think it should not derail the economic recovery, or the continued healing of the domestic labour market in 2022,” said  Ms Selena Ling, chief economist and head of treasury research and strategy at OCBC Bank, in a report by The Straits Times (ST)

She added, “With the Vaccinated Travel Lanes to Germany and Brunei and more to come, the aviation and hospitality sectors may have some upside in the coming months.”

On the other hand, Maybank Kim Eng economist Chua Hak Bin was also reported saying to ST that he sees the unemployment rates as reflecting a “temporary pause”.

“Firms that had to downsize during the heightened measures will still need to provide some notice period to employees. The job market will likely recover with the recent reopening,” he said.

However, Dr Chua warned that job market recovery, is not a straight line trajectory and may still face a bumpy and winding road ahead even with the economic reopening”.

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Labour

Singapore’s Manpower Ministry engages Dyson over last-minute layoff notice to union

The Ministry of Manpower (MOM) has engaged with Dyson following the company’s one-day notice to a labour union regarding retrenchments. MOM emphasised the importance of early notification to unions as per the Tripartite Advisory on Managing Excess Manpower. It noted that while Dyson is unionised, the retrenched professionals, managers, and executives (PMEs) are not covered by the union’s collective representation.

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SINGAPORE: The Ministry of Manpower (MOM) has initiated talks with Dyson after the company gave just one day’s notice to a labour union about a retrenchment exercise.

The United Workers of Electronics and Electrical Industries (UWEEI) had earlier requested a conciliation session to address the issue.

According to MOM’s statement on 3 October, the ministry met with Dyson on 2 October and plans to meet with the UWEEI to facilitate an amicable solution.

The dispute arose after UWEEI’s executive secretary, Patrick Tay, voiced the union’s disappointment that it was notified of the retrenchment just a day before Dyson laid off an unspecified number of workers on 1 October.

Tay expressed concern that the short notice did not allow enough time for discussions to ensure a fair and progressive retrenchment process.

He also highlighted that more time would have enabled better support for the affected employees.

According to MOM, under the Tripartite Advisory on Managing Excess Manpower and Responsible Retrenchment, unionised companies should give unions early notice when informing employees of retrenchments.

However, while Dyson is unionised, the professionals, managers, and executives (PMEs) who were laid off are not covered by the union’s collective representation.

“Hence the period of notice to inform UWEEI is negotiable,” MOM said.

However, MOM acknowledged that insufficient notice was given in this instance and stated its intent to work with both parties to improve communication going forward.

The Ministry also emphasised that the formula for calculating retrenchment benefits for PMEs does not necessarily have to follow the same criteria applied to rank-and-file workers.

The specific terms of such benefits are subject to negotiation between the union and the company, a position that has been agreed upon within Singapore’s tripartite framework.

MOM reaffirmed that it would mediate the issue if needed.

In its 3 October statement, MOM reiterated Singapore’s commitment to supporting businesses like Dyson that choose to invest in the country.

“We will work with these companies, economic agencies and NTUC to ensure that we remain both pro-worker and pro-growth.”

Mr Tay, who is also a Member of Parliament from ruling People’s Action Party (PAP), in an video message posted on UWEEI’s official Facebook page, urged Dyson executives affected by the retrenchment to seek assistance from the union in ensuring that their benefits are fair.

However, he noted that Dyson has not shared crucial details, such as the job levels of those impacted, which complicates the union’s efforts.

Tay explained that some affected workers had been instructed to keep their retrenchment packages confidential or risk losing them, further adding to the union’s concerns.

Although the union believes the package aligns with UWEEI’s standard of one month’s salary per year of service, Tay stated that uncertainty remains over whether the package is capped.

“That is why we are concerned that we have not received more information from Dyson on who the affected workers are or their job levels as Section 30A of the Industrial Relations Act also allows UWEEI to represent executives individually on retrenchment benefits.”

In response to the ongoing situation, UWEEI has established a task force to provide guidance to the retrenched employees, particularly in terms of job searches.

Tay also issued a public call for Dyson employees, especially PMEs, to join UWEEI so the union could better support them during such retrenchment exercises.

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Chris Kuan questions Singapore’s foreign workforce dependency and official statistics

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Former Singaporean banker Chris Kuan has raised important questions about the extent of Singapore’s dependency on foreign labour in a recent Facebook post.

His analysis, which critiques how official statistics are compiled, refers to the data released from the latest Population in Brief report published by the National Population and Talent Division (NPTD) of the Prime Minister’s Office.

According to the report, which was highlighted by Channel News Asia on 24 September 2024, Singapore’s total population exceeded six million for the first time, largely driven by growth in the non-resident population.

Of the 6.04 million people residing in Singapore as of June 2024, 1.86 million were non-residents, including foreign workers, domestic helpers, dependents, and international students.

Kuan focuses on this breakdown, which revealed that the non-resident population grew by 5% in the past year, with work permit holders and foreign domestic workers making up a significant share.

Work permit holders alone accounted for 44% of the non-resident population, while foreign domestic workers made up 15%.

These figures, he argues, illustrate the nation’s increasing reliance on foreign labour, which is often overlooked when discussing economic data.

In his analysis, Kuan estimates that over 2 million jobs in Singapore are held by foreigners, including Foreign Domestic Workers (FDWs).

According to the Department of Statistics, the number of employed persons is 3.8 million, with 2.4 million being resident workers. However, there is no breakdown of the resident workers into Singaporeans and Permanent Residents who are foreigners—even when asked in Parliament.

He noted that this number represents approximately 51% of the total workforce. When excluding FDWs from the calculation, foreign workers still account for 44% of the country’s jobs.

According to Kuan, this figure underscores how heavily the nation depends on non-resident workers, with more than half of these foreign jobs being in the Work Permit and FDW categories.

Kuan also critiqued the way Singapore’s official statistics are compiled, particularly by the Singapore Department of Statistics (SingStat).

He pointed out that economic measures such as the Gini coefficient, which tracks income inequality, as well as median household income and salaries, are typically calculated based on the resident population alone. This exclusion of nearly 30% of the population, which includes 1.1 million work permit holders and FDWs, creates a skewed perception of the nation’s economic reality.

The CNA report similarly notes that the non-resident population is subject to fluctuations based on Singapore’s social and economic needs, with sectors such as construction and marine shipyard work seeing the largest growth.

The Population in Brief report also highlights that the country’s resident employment has grown in sectors such as financial services, information technology, and professional services, which are predominantly filled by local workers.

Kuan argued that this selective focus on residents when reporting statistics results in an overly positive picture of Singapore’s wealth and economic performance.

He illustrated this point by referencing an online comment made in a Facebook group for Malaysians and Singaporeans living in Japan.

The commenter had falsely claimed that cleaners in Singapore earned S$3,000 per month, higher than the starting salary of fresh graduates in Japan.

Kuan debunked this claim, explaining that the actual salary for a cleaner in Singapore is closer to S$1,500, while fresh graduates in Japan typically earn around S$2,500 or more. He suggested that such misrepresentations stem from the limited perspective offered by focusing only on residents in economic data.

In his post, Kuan expressed concern that many Singaporeans have been “brainwashed” by these incomplete statistics, which exclude the foreign workforce that contributes substantially to the country’s GDP.

He emphasised that much of Singapore’s success in terms of wealth and GDP growth cannot be fully understood without acknowledging the role of non-residents, including Employment Pass holders, S Pass holders, Work Permit holders, and FDWs, as well as foreign students and dependents.

Kuan’s critique has added fuel to the ongoing debate about Singapore’s demographic and labour policies.

As the country continues to rely on foreign workers to support economic growth, the balancing act between resident and non-resident employment remains a central issue.

The CNA report noted that the Singapore government has consistently maintained that the foreign workforce is crucial to complementing the local workforce and allowing businesses to access a broader range of skills from the global talent pool.

However, Kuan’s post raises the question of whether the full economic impact of this dependency is being adequately reflected in public discourse and official statistics.

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