Thursday, 28 September 2023

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估计10万工友所得少于最低薪资 林志蔚:政府渐进式薪制无助改善处境

对于有者不同意新加坡工人党倡议最低薪金制,老本行是经济学家的盛港候任议员林志蔚,发文比较最低薪金制和渐进式薪金模式的差异。

他分析政府推出的渐进式薪金模式把薪资和工作职能绑定,也给了雇主更很多空间“省成本”,且没有考量到劳资之间的权力差异。再者,对于那些无法提升技能的工友,只能继续生活在低工资的处境,“事实上,据我们估计,有10万名工友薪资少于最低薪资,显然渐进式模式对他们无效。”

他在文中指出,最低薪资制尽管不是毫无疑问的好政策,但他是立足于证明,能改善雇员处境的良好开端。而在英美国家,所有的综合分析(meta- analyses)也显示,最低薪资制实则对于雇员就业问题,几乎没有影响。

而近期的研究,也倾向支持最低薪资制,即时薪资涨幅很大,对于低薪工友的就业问题实则带来冲击微小。

过去,本地反对最低薪资制的论述,不外乎认为这将造成雇主不愿聘用更多低薪工友、恐加剧失业问题等。前内阁部长、职总前秘书长的林文兴,曾认为最低薪资并无法改善低收入群体的困境。他也为此议题与巡回大使许通美教授论战。

林志蔚本身也是位经济学家,拥有美国哈佛大学历史学硕士、美国加利福尼亚大学圣克鲁兹分校国际经济学、哲学博士资历,目前也是ESSEC商学院经济学副教授。

不过,他也提出在推出最低薪资政策前,应设定评估框架和独立的最低薪检讨委员会,根据本地的情况作出调整。

至于谁该为最低薪资制买单?有者认为政府会为此付出代价,但林志蔚则解释,实际上他不会带来财政影响,可能由七成由消费者支付更高价格、三成由雇主承担。但他认为,关键在于,要把谈判薪资的权力,从资本方重新分配给劳动力。

“我认为我们可以承担一些费用,来照顾社会上较不富裕 群体,随着消费者比最低薪资工友多,对价格的影响也就减少。”

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