By ValuePenguin.sg
The media has been writing about falling number of cars and car sales in Singapore. For instance, the number of cars has hit a 6-year low of 603,763 in 2016, falling for the 3rd consecutive year. This could be a worrying sign that the Singaporean consumer and economy is weakening, and cutting out on their discretionary spending and tightening their budgets. In response to falling level of COEs and car sales, the Monetary Authority of Singapore has again relaxed car loan restrictions in 2016 after tightening rules around car financing only 3 years earlier in 2013 when they wanted to reign in rapidly increasing COE prices and household debt in Singapore. However, our team at ValuePenguin has found yet another trend that was buried in the data that people were missing: although number of cars are falling, the number of expensive cars have been increasing in Singapore.

Total Number of Cars in Singapore has been declining since 2013

Total Number of Cars in Singapore

Declining Number of Cars In Singapore, But Increasing Number of Expensive Cars

Diving into statistics released by different government agencies actually reveal a few very interesting trends. It seems that, while the number of cars in Singapore has been declining for the last few years, the decline was mostly faced by the mass market brands such as Toyota and Hyundai. Meanwhile, number of cars from very high end brands like BMW and Mercedes. As of 2016, the high-end brands comprised about 22% of cars in Singapore compared to 17% they represented in 2013, with mass market brands decilning by 5% from 83% to 78% over the same time period.

comparing proportion of cars in Singapore by High End Car Makers vs Mass Market Car Makers

High End Car Makers vs Mass Market Car Makers

For instance, There were only 11,000-13,000 Audis in Singapore during 2012-2013 period. By 2016, this had increased to over 17,500. Similarly, other high end brand car makers have been increasing their presence dramatically in Singapore, with vast majority of them increasing their numbers by double digits in a matter for few years.

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016-2015 vs 2013-2012
MERCEDES BENZ 36,131 38,554 41,525 44,800 48,469 24.90%
B.M.W. 34,817 37,691 39,518 40,521 41,631 13.30%
AUDI 11,227 12,882 14,204 15,874 17,535 38.60%
PORSCHE 3,243 3,539 3,857 4,368 4,832 35.70%
JAGUAR 2,629 2,977 3,095 3,285 3,623 23.20%
INFINITI 79 112 202 424 748 513.60%
MASERATI 541 584 609 662 697 20.80%
BENTLEY 412 524 578 625 652 36.40%
FERRARI 523 582 599 621 619 12.20%
ROLLS ROYCE 245 299 315 330 349 24.80%
LAMBORGHINI 329 334 315 297 267 -14.90%
ASTON MARTIN 179 196 195 192 184 0.30%

In contrast, mass market brands have declined significantly over the years in Singapore. The number of Toyotas on the road in Singapore has declined by about 10% since 2012-2013 to 2015-2016 period, while Nissan and Hyundais have declined even further by 18% and 28%, respectively.

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016-2015 vs 2013-2012
TOYOTA 159,889 157,598 153,163 145,054 141,463 -9.8%
HONDA 89,193 87,747 85,636 85,669 93,680 1.4%
NISSAN 55,651 54,360 52,273 47,161 42,613 -18.4%
HYUNDAI 43,953 42,643 39,626 33,859 28,416 -28.1%
MAZDA 21,715 21,542 21,949 24,028 27,210 18.5%
MITSUBISHI 34,957 34,117 32,440 29,549 26,775 -18.5%
VOLKSWAGEN 16,698 19,466 21,801 24,319 26,470 40.4%
SUBARU 13,771 13,609 13,670 14,217 15,063 6.9%
SUZUKI 14,754 14,566 14,214 13,339 11,693 -14.6%
VOLVO 7,959 8,499 8,901 9,368 9,961 17.4%
CHEVROLET 11,516 11,581 11,337 10,391 8,677 -17.4%
FORD 3,831 3,802 3,719 3,348 3,056 -16.1%
FIAT 2,339 2,302 2,253 2,074 1,644 -19.9%
CHRYSLER 631 588 556 477 337 -33.2%

But why is this happening? Are people getting richer and just buying more expensive cars? It seems like that isn’t quite the case.

More Expensive Cars, but Declining Use of Car Loans

According to the data released by Credit Bureau of Singapore, Singaporeans are getting less loans to finance their car purchases than they used. For instance, the average size of car loans in Singapore has declined from S$90,000 in 2012 to S$61,000 in 2016, which seems puzzling since there are more expensive cars in the road now than they were in the past.

Number of Car Loans Have Increased, but Size of Loans have Decreased - 2012 vs 2016

There’s a possible explanation for this phenomenon: the number of car loans issued has gone up from 65,000 in 2012 to 77,000 in 2016. The fact that more people are applying for smaller-sized car loans suggests that the middle class is relying more on car loans to buy cars in than they did in the past, while people who are buying very expensive cars don’t need as much financial help.
Sure there may be more expensive cars being purchased by Singaporeans than there were in the past. However, more people who are buying a Honda need financial help than in the past, while those who do buy a Mercedes S-Class isn’t relying so much on a bank financing.

Increased Importance of Finding the Car Loan with the Lowest Interest Rates

What this means for an average consumer in Singapore is that it’s all the important for him to search for the lowest rate possible when getting a car loan. If people need more help financing their vehicles than they did in the past, they could benefit from saving every penny they can by lowering the cost of their loans.
According to ValuePenguin’s study, the average interest rate of a car loan in Singapore is around 3%. When you are comparing different car loan offers from different banks, you can use this as a point of comparison to make sure you get the lowest rate possible and minimise a loan’s impact on your monthly budget. Also, if you are currently paying more than 2% interest on your car loan, you could consider refinancing your car loan to save even more money before interest rates start to rise even more, since the average rate of refinancing loans tend to be lower than those for new car loans.
This article was first published at ValuePenguin.sg

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