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中防疫专家预测 想出国玩要等到2022年春天!

by 林殊
16/11/2020
in 冠状病毒(COVID-19), 国际, 新闻, 时事
Reading Time: 1 min read
0

到底什么时候可以出国?相信是目前所有人所关心的问题。今年因疫情肆虐,各国也采取边境限制措施,导致许多人的出国行程随之告吹。尽管到了年底,仍未见全球疫情有趋缓现象,想出国旅行?似乎遥遥无期。

对此,中国防疫专家张文宏预测,未来随着疫苗上市,接种率提高,预测到2022年春天才能出国。

综合中媒报道,上海复旦大学附属华山医院感染科主任张文宏,于本月13日在北京出席论坛时,指近期各国在疫苗的发展上取得重要的进展,预计将会在今年年底至明年初上市。

至于新加坡方面,预计最早可在明年初获得冠病疫苗。美国药剂公司Arcturus Therapeutics,与杜克—新加坡国立大学医学院合作研发,“ARCT-021”目前在新加坡进行第一和第二阶段的试验。

但他仍然强调,疫苗并非能够立即缓解冠病疫情,他表示,“疫苗今天上市,病毒明天就消失,这是不可能的”,并续指未来一两年内疫情可能都很难完全消失。

针对疫苗在未来的作用到底有多大,张文宏也表示,如今的冠病病毒已经成为常驻病毒,且致死率还很高,因此有了疫苗不一定行,但没有疫苗万万不行,因此没有了疫苗的协助,很可能无法实现全球范围的疫情防堵。

要杜绝疫情的蔓延,张文宏也说,需要全球接种比例超过60巴仙,否则对于“重启”世界很有困难。如果能够实现,届时病毒会降格成为感染率较低的常驻病毒,类似流感。

按照现行各国疫苗研发和推动的速度,从疫苗到上市,再到各国接踵率提升,预计将会在2022年春天,并说,“说不定我们可以重新背起行囊到世界各地去走一走,前提是,全球必须共同协作防控疫情。”

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