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Was Cost of Living an election issue in the 2020 Singapore General Election?

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by Roy Ngerng

Was the cost of living an important factor during the recent 2020 Singapore general election?

Below is some data that helps to put things into perspective.

The People’s Action Party (PAP)’s Vivian Balakrishnan revealed two weeks ago during a political debate, that at 60% of the labour force, Singapore has one of the highest proportion of Professionals, Managers, Executives and Technicians (PMETs) workers in the world.

With Singapore having one of the highest GDPs per capita and cost of living in the world, it might be assumed that one of the highest PMET shares in the world would, therefore, mean that Singaporeans would also have among the highest wages in the world.

In the chart below, you can see that Singapore has among the highest GDPs per capita in the world.

However, when comparing the median wages of middle-income workers with other advanced economies with similar GDPs per capita and cost of living, Singapore actually has the lowest median wages.

In fact, the median wage Singaporeans earn is as low as countries with half, or even less than half the GDP per capita of Singapore – like Italy, Spain and Malta.

(The definition of “advanced economies” is based on the International Monetary Fund classification – Hong Kong and Macau have not been included in this comparison. Singapore’s GDP per capita is about US$65,000; the comparisons in this article defines countries with similar GDPs per capita as those with GDPs per capita higher than US$40,000; Singapore’s median hourly wage is calculated by dividing the median monthly wage of S$3,275 in 2014 by the average of 46 work hours in 2014 to obtain a median hourly wage of S$16.39 or 10.34 Euros; Australia’s median wage can be found here, Canada’s median wage can be found here and New Zealand’s median wage can be found here.)

With wages being so low for middle-income Singaporeans, low-income workers without a doubt therefore also earn the lowest wages among these advanced economies – comparing the basic wage of outsourced cleaning workers in Singapore with the minimum wages in these other advanced economies, Singaporeans also earn the lowest wages. (The S$1,236 basic wage that outsourced resident cleaners earn translates to 780 Euros; Australia’s minimum wage can be found here and New Zealand’s minimum wage can be found here.)

In fact, Singaporeans earn lower wages than countries like Spain, Slovenia and Malta which have GDPs per capita less than half that of Singapore’s.

In the chart below, you can also see that countries with higher minimum wages also have higher median wages. However, Singapore has both the lowest minimum and median wages among this group of advanced economies with similar GDPs per capita and cost of living, and only on par with Spain and Slovenia which have half the GDP per capita of Singapore – this is even though Singapore has among the highest GDP per capita in the world. In fact, Singaporeans’ wages are only slightly higher than Greece, which has a GDP per capita only one third that of Singapore’s.

One reason why Singaporeans earn such low wages is that, in Singapore, the share of total labour compensation as a proportion of GDP is only 45.3% (according to data compiled by The Conference Board; official data shows Singapore’s wage share is only about 40%) – which makes Singapore’s wage share the third-lowest among advanced economies.

After 2021, the Singapore PAP government intends to increase GST from 7% to 9%, because PAP’s Heng Swee Keat said, “money not enough”. But is this really so?

One way to compare Singapore’s finances is to look at the tax wedge.

According to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the tax wedge is calculated by expressing the personal income tax, employee and employer social security contributions, as a percentage of labour costs.

Accordingly, Singapore’s tax burden would be about 32.9%. (Using the median wage of S$4,000 a month, personal income tax using the Inland Revenue Authority of Singapore’s calculator would give S$61.77 a month, in addition to a monthly S$800 employee Central Provident Fund (CPF) contribution of 20% and a S$680 employer CPF contribution of 17%, which added together and divided by the total labour costs of S$4,680 (the median wage inclusive of employer CPF contribution) would give 32.9%.)

When comparing Singapore’s estimated tax wedge with the other advanced economies, Singapore tax wedge is actually not low – it is actually similar to the average tax wedge being paid in other advanced economies with similar GDPs per capita and cost of living.

The question, therefore, is whether a 9% increase in GST is still necessary, given this figure.

This fact is even starker when we compare how much the PAP government actually spends on social protection for Singaporeans – in other words, how much of the tax and social security revenue collected is actually returned to Singaporeans?

Comparing the social expenditure is one way to look at whether the tax and social security Singaporeans pay is being returned in a proportionate manner.

When comparing social spending with other advanced economies, the PAP government actually spends the lowest public social protection expenditure after Hong Kong, as a percentage of GDP.

In terms of healthcare, the PAP government also spends the third-lowest among other advanced economies, as a percentage of total health expenditure.

As a result, Singaporeans, therefore, have to fork out even more out of their own pockets for their healthcare expenses, which results in them having to pay the highest out-of-pocket health expenditure among advanced economies with similar GDPs per capita and cost of living, as a proportion of total health expenditure.

In fact, by monetary value, Singaporeans also have to pay the second-highest out-of-pocket health expenditure among these advanced economies, when accounting for the cost of living.

In terms of retirement, more than 74% of Central Provident Fund (CPF) elderly members could withdraw only less than S$500 a month from their CPF. The Online Citizen Asia also calculated that the average CPF payout each elderly CPF member could receive was only S$355.

The OECD uses a measure of gross pension replacement rate, which it defines as the “gross pension entitlement divided by gross pre-retirement earnings [to] measure how effectively a pension system provides a retirement income to replace earnings”. If we are to use Singapore’s average wage of S$5,549 in 2019 as a baseline for comparison, the average payout of S$355 would suggest that Singaporeans would only be receiving a replacement payout of 6.4%, which would be the least adequate pension replacement rate, as compared to other advanced economies with similar GDPs per capita and cost of living. (The overall average wage is used for this comparison as the average wage breakdown by age is not available in the Singapore Yearbook of Manpower Statistics 2020.)

According to a study conducted by several academics from the National University of Singapore, the Nanyang Technological University and the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, elderly Singaporeans aged 65 and above would require S$1,379 a month in order to have a basic standard of living. The S$355 elderly Singaporeans are receiving is therefore only a quarter of the basic amount they would need for basic living – elderly Singaporeans are therefore not receiving adequate retirement payouts.

In terms of the social protection expenditure on pensions, the PAP government also spends the least among the advanced economies.

In other words, all these figures show that while the PAP government has collected a tax wedge from Singaporeans similar to other advanced economies, it has instead returned to Singaporeans one of the lowest, if not the lowest spending, for our social protection as well as in healthcare and retirement.

Not only is there no reason to increase the GST to 9%, the valid question to ask is – where has all the money gone to, if not to Singaporeans?

As such, while policy debates this election has been sidetracked by the smear campaigns and personal attacks that took centre stage, there should be no doubt that cost of living issues would have weighed heavily on the minds of Singaporeans voters, given the comparatively low wages, high tax wedge burden, and the social expenditure that is being controlled by the PAP government whilst not only mean Singaporeans cannot access enough of their monies to pay for healthcare and retirement but have to continue to pay out of their own pockets for these basic necessities on their comparative low purchasing powers.

A responsible government would have allowed Medisave to be withdrawn in higher amounts for healthcare, and instead of putting a limit on what Singaporeans can claim from Medisave, abolish this limit and then put a cap on how much Singaporeans have to pay out of their own pockets instead. This was what The Workers’ Party (WP) proposed in its election manifesto to do – to expand the use of Medisave. The Singapore Democratic Party (SDP) also proposed setting a cap of S$2,000 a year on how much Singaporeans have to pay for healthcare. The Progress Singapore Party (PSP) also proposed for the government to pay the MediShield premiums of Singaporeans.

A responsible government would also ensure elderly Singaporeans would be able to withdraw enough from their CPF retirement funds to retire. For a start, the SDP proposed paying 80% of Singaporeans an additional S$500 a month for retirement.

They have also proposed implementing a minimum wage or living wage to increase wages.

You can think about whether this new PAP government would take the actions that a responsible government would.

At the next election, it is worthwhile to remember these when making your vote.

Better still, bookmark this article to read at the next election, to remind yourself what is really at stake.

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Lim Tean criticizes Govt’s rejection of basic income report, urges Singaporeans to rethink election choices

Lim Tean, leader of Peoples Voice (PV), criticizes the government’s defensive response to the basic living income report, accusing it of avoiding reality.

He calls on citizens to assess affordability and choose MPs who can truly enhance their lives in the upcoming election.

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SINGAPORE: A recently published report, “Minimum Income Standard 2023: Household Budgets in a Time of Rising Costs,” unveils figures detailing the necessary income households require to maintain a basic standard of living, using the Minimum Income Standard (MIS) method.

The newly released study, spearheaded by Dr Ng Kok Hoe of the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy (LKYSPP) specifically focuses on working-age households in 2021 and presents the latest MIS budgets, adjusted for inflation from 2020 to 2022.

The report detailed that:

  • The “reasonable starting point” for a living wage in Singapore was S$2,906 a month.
  • A single parent with a child aged two to six required S$3,218 per month.
  • Partnered parents with two children, one aged between seven and 12 and the other between 13 and 18, required S$6,426 a month.
  • A single elderly individual required S$1,421 a month.
  • Budgets for both single and partnered parent households averaged around S$1,600 per member. Given recent price inflation, these figures have risen by up to 5% in the current report.

Singapore Govt challenges MIS 2023 report’s representation of basic needs

Regrettably, on Thursday (14 Sept), the Finance Ministry (MOF), Manpower Ministry (MOM), and Ministry of Social and Family Development (MSF) jointly issued a statement dismissing the idea suggested by the report, claiming that minimum household income requirements amid inflation “might not accurately reflect basic needs”.

Instead, they claimed that findings should be seen as “what individuals would like to have.”, and further defended their stances for the Progressive Wage Model (PWM) and other measures to uplift lower-wage workers.

The government argued that “a universal wage floor is not necessarily the best way” to ensure decent wages for lower-wage workers.

The government’s statement also questions the methodology of the Minimum Income Standards (MIS) report, highlighting limitations such as its reliance on respondent profiles and group dynamics.

“The MIS approach used is highly dependent on respondent profiles and on group dynamics. As the focus groups included higher-income participants, the conclusions may not be an accurate reflection of basic needs.”

The joint statement claimed that the MIS approach included discretionary expenditure items such as jewellery, perfumes, and overseas holidays.

Lim Tean slams Government’s response to basic living income report

In response to the government’s defensive reaction to the recent basic living income report, Lim Tean, leader of the alternative party Peoples Voice (PV), strongly criticizes the government’s apparent reluctance to confront reality, stating, “It has its head buried in the sand”.

He strongly questioned the government’s endorsement of the Progressive Wage Model (PWM) as a means to uplift the living standards of the less fortunate in Singapore, describing it as a misguided approach.

In a Facebook video on Friday (15 Sept), Lim Tean highlighted that it has become a global norm, especially in advanced and first-world countries, to establish a minimum wage, commonly referred to as a living wage.

“Everyone is entitled to a living wage, to have a decent life, It is no use boasting that you are one of the richest countries in the world that you have massive reserves, if your citizens cannot have a decent life with a decent living wage.”

Lim Tean cited his colleague, Leong Sze Hian’s calculations, which revealed a staggering 765,800 individuals in Singapore, including Permanent Residents and citizens, may not earn the recommended living wage of $2,906, as advised by the MIS report.

“If you take away the migrant workers or the foreign workers, and take away those who do not work, underage, are children you know are unemployed, and the figure is staggering, isn’t it?”

“You know you are looking at a very substantial percentage of the workforce that do not have sufficient income to meet basic needs, according to this report.”

He reiterated that the opposition parties, including the People’s Voice and the People’s Alliance, have always called for a minimum wage, a living wage which the government refuses to countenance.

Scepticism about the government’s ability to control rising costs

In a time of persistently high inflation, Lim Tean expressed skepticism about the government’s ability to control rising costs.

He cautioned against believing in predictions of imminent inflation reduction and lower interest rates below 2%, labeling them as unrealistic.

Lim Tean urged Singaporeans to assess their own affordability in these challenging times, especially with the impending GST increase.

He warned that a 1% rise in GST could lead to substantial hikes in everyday expenses, particularly food prices.

Lim Tean expressed concern that the PAP had become detached from the financial struggles of everyday Singaporeans, citing their high salaries and perceived insensitivity to the common citizen’s plight.

Lim Tean urges Singaporeans to rethink election choices

Highlighting the importance of the upcoming election, Lim Tean recommended that citizens seriously evaluate the affordability of their lives.

“If you ask yourself about affordability, you will realise that you have no choice, In the coming election, but to vote in a massive number of opposition Members of Parliament, So that they can make a difference.”

Lim Tean emphasized the need to move beyond the traditional notion of providing checks and balances and encouraged voters to consider who could genuinely improve their lives.

“To me, the choice is very simple. It is whether you decide to continue with a life, that is going to become more and more expensive: More expensive housing, higher cost of living, jobs not secure because of the massive influx of foreign workers,” he declared.

“Or you choose members of Parliament who have your interests at heart and who want to make your lives better.”

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Political observers call for review of Singapore’s criteria of Presidential candidates and propose 5 year waiting period for political leaders

Singaporean political observers express concern over the significantly higher eligibility criteria for private-sector presidential candidates compared to public-sector candidates, calling for adjustments.

Some also suggest a five year waiting period for aspiring political leaders after leaving their party before allowed to partake in the presidential election.

Notably, The Workers’ Party has earlier reiterated its position that the current qualification criteria favor PAP candidates and has called for a return to a ceremonial presidency instead of an elected one.

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While the 2023 Presidential Election in Singapore concluded on Friday (1 September), discussions concerning the fairness and equity of the electoral system persist.

Several political observers contend that the eligibility criteria for private-sector individuals running for president are disproportionately high compared to those from the public sector, and they propose that adjustments be made.

They also recommend a five-year waiting period for aspiring political leaders after leaving their party before being allowed to participate in the presidential election.

Aspiring entrepreneur George Goh Ching Wah, announced his intention to in PE 2023 in June. However, His application as a candidate was unsuccessful, he failed to receive the Certificate of Eligibility (COE) on 18 August.

Mr Goh had expressed his disappointment in a statement after the ELD’s announcement, he said, the Presidential Elections Committee (PEC) took a very narrow interpretation of the requirements without explaining the rationale behind its decision.

As per Singapore’s Constitution, individuals running for the presidency from the private sector must have a minimum of three years’ experience as a CEO in a company.

This company should have consistently maintained an average shareholders’ equity of at least S$500 million and sustained profitability.

Mr Goh had pursued eligibility through the private sector’s “deliberative track,” specifically referring to section 19(4)(b)(2) of the Singapore Constitution.

He pointed out five companies he had led for over three years, collectively claiming a shareholders’ equity of S$1.521 billion.

Notably, prior to the 2016 revisions, the PEC might have had the authority to assess Mr Goh’s application similarly to how it did for Mr Tan Jee Say in the 2011 Presidential Election.

Yet, in its current formulation, the PEC is bound by the definitions laid out in the constitution.

Calls for equitable standards across public and private sectors

According to Singapore’s Chinese media outlet, Shin Min Daily News, Dr Felix Tan Thiam Kim, a political analyst at Nanyang Technological University (NTU) Singapore, noted that in 2016, the eligibility criteria for private sector candidates were raised from requiring them to be executives of companies with a minimum capital of S$100 million to CEOs of companies with at least S$500 million in shareholder equity.

However, the eligibility criteria for public sector candidates remained unchanged. He suggests that there is room for adjusting the eligibility criteria for public sector candidates.

Associate Professor Bilver Singh, Deputy Head of the Department of Political Science at the National University of Singapore, believes that the constitutional requirements for private-sector individuals interested in running are excessively stringent.

He remarked, “I believe it is necessary to reassess the relevant regulations.”

He points out that the current regulations are more favourable for former public officials seeking office and that the private sector faces notably greater challenges.

“While it may be legally sound, it may not necessarily be equitable,” he added.

Proposed five-year waiting period for political leaders eyeing presidential race

Moreover, despite candidates severing ties with their political parties in pursuit of office, shedding their political affiliations within a short timeframe remains a challenging endeavour.

A notable instance is Mr Tharman Shanmugaratnam, who resigned from the People’s Action Party (PAP) just slightly over a month before announcing his presidential candidacy, sparking considerable debate.

During a live broadcast, his fellow contender, Ng Kok Song, who formerly served as the Chief Investment Officer of GIC, openly questioned Mr Tharman’s rapid transition to a presidential bid shortly after leaving his party and government.

Dr Felix Tan suggests that in the future, political leaders aspiring to run for the presidency should not only resign from their parties but also adhere to a mandatory waiting period of at least five years before entering the race.

Cherian George and Kevin Y.L. Tan: “illogical ” to raise the corporate threshold in 2016

Indeed, the apprehension regarding the stringent eligibility criteria and concerns about fairness in presidential candidacy requirements are not limited to political analysts interviewed by Singapore’s mainstream media.

Prior to PE2023, CCherian George, a Professor of media studies at Hong Kong Baptist University, and Kevin Y.L. Tan, an Adjunct Professor at both the Faculty of Law of the National University of Singapore and the NTU’s S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), brought attention to the challenges posed by the qualification criteria for candidates vying for the Singaporean Presidency.

In their article titled “Why Singapore’s Next Elected President Should be One of its Last,” the scholars discussed the relevance of the current presidential election system in Singapore and floated the idea of returning to an appointed President, emphasizing the symbolic and unifying role of the office.

They highlighted that businessman George Goh appeared to be pursuing the “deliberative track” for qualification, which requires candidates to satisfy the PEC that their experience and abilities are comparable to those of a typical company’s chief executive with shareholder equity of at least S$500 million.

Mr Goh cobbles together a suite of companies under his management to meet the S$500m threshold.

The article also underscored the disparities between the eligibility criteria for candidates from the public and private sectors, serving as proxies for evaluating a candidate’s experience in handling complex financial matters.

“It is hard to see what financial experience the Chairman of the Public Service Commission or for that matter, the Chief Justice has, when compared to a Minister or a corporate chief.”

“The raising of the corporate threshold in 2016 is thus illogical and serves little purpose other than to simply reduce the number of potentially eligible candidates.”

The article also touches upon the issue of candidates’ independence from political parties, particularly the ruling People’s Action Party (PAP).

It mentions that candidates are expected to be non-partisan and independent, and it questions how government-backed candidates can demonstrate their independence given their previous affiliations.

The Workers’ Party advocate for a return to a ceremonial presidency

It comes as no surprise that Singapore’s alternative party, the Workers’ Party, reaffirmed its stance on 30 August, asserting that they believe the existing qualifying criteria for presidential candidates are skewed in favour of those approved by the People’s Action Party (PAP).

They argue that the current format of the elected presidency (EP) undermines the principles of parliamentary democracy.

“It also serves as an unnecessary source of gridlock – one that could potentially cripple a non-PAP government within its first term – and is an alternative power centre that could lead to political impasses.”

Consistently, the Workers’ Party has been vocal about its objection to the elected presidency and has consistently called for its abolition.

Instead, they advocate for a return to a ceremonial presidency, a position they have maintained for over three decades.

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