Indonesia has recorded 607 new novel coronavirus (COVID-19) cases in recovery, surpassing the number of deaths (507) as of Friday (17 April).
The COVID-19 positive cases have reached 5,923, up 407 from the figures on Thursday (16 April).
“We are grateful that the numbers of cases in recovery are now 607, and they will significantly increase in the next few days,” said the government spokesperson for Indonesia’s COVID-19 mitigation taskforce Achmad Yurianto said in a press conference on Friday (17 April).
Which provinces have the highest coronavirus recovery rates?
As of Wednesday (15 April), Jakarta had recorded 164 cases in recovery, followed by East Java with 81 cases, South Sulawesi (32), West Java (23), and Bali (23), the official data showed.
Central Java’s capital Semarang recorded 12 cases in recovery Wednesday (15 April), the highest rate in a single day.
The patients were treated in three hospitals: Karyadi Hospital, Columbia Asia Hospital, and Tlogorejo Hospital. CNN Indonesia reported.
Recovery rates can be counted by dividing the total numbers of cases in recovery with the total numbers of COVID-19 positive cases, and then multiplying the result by a hundred.
Is the increase in the number of cases recovery giving a new hope?
There are no fixed answers to this question, due to the virus’ mobility and the latest updates about the new disease.
Previously, Indonesia’s mortality rates over COVID-19 have gone under scrutiny, following the data released by a Hong Kong-based venture capital firm on 31 March.
The data showed that Indonesia came second as the riskiest country to stay regarding the COVID-19, after Italy.
The European economic powerhouse has recorded 22,170 deaths over COVID-19, with 168,941 positive cases as of Friday (17 April).
Many cast doubt over the government’s data.
Experts claim that there have been lots of unreported COVID-19 positive cases in Indonesia.
A study from a London-based Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease on 26 March showed that only 2 percent of COVID-19 cases were reported in Indonesia, The Guardian reported.
The study revealed that it was unlikely for Indonesia to have such a high mortality rate with a low number of positive cases.
Yurianto admitted the data discrepancy, adding that data from provincial administration include the numbers of conducted rapid tests and those of completed swab tests, while the central government only uses the numbers of swab test due to higher accuracy of results.
An ob-gyn who once worked in a hospital which is now one of the COVID-19 designated hospitals told a TOC correspondent in Jakarta that the actual numbers of COVID-19 positive cases are higher than the official data.
“Also, why are the mortality rates high among patients and medical workers?
“Many patients did not tell the truth about their symptoms. They said they had no COVID-19-related signs such as cough or breathing difficulties. But actually they have those symptoms,” the specialist told the TOC correspondent.
She added that now all medical workers must have a common assumption that everyone is a virus carrier, given that many people have been infected despite showing no symptoms at all.
Head expert at the government’s COVID-19 task force Professor Wiku Adisasmito predicted that the numbers of COVID-19 cases will reach their peak between early May and the beginning of June.
This means that the figure can reach around 95,000-100,000 based on reviews and predictions, CNA reported.
However, he noted that the forecast is still preliminary, hoping that the case will be lower.
Several regions in Indonesia have imposed large-scale social distancing — locally known as pembatasan sosial berskala besar (PSBB)– aimed at containing the COVID-19 spread.
Under PSBB, places such as offices, schools, and entertainment hubs are ordered to close during the period. Gatherings involving more than five people are also prohibited during PSBB.