Wednesday, 27 September 2023

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三年來首度放宽货币政策,避免技术性经济衰退

由于中美贸易战仍在继续,我国于今日(14日)放宽了货币政策,亦是三年来首度放宽货币,而对于出口经济的国家而言,可以在第三季度勉强度过了技术性经济衰退。

随着全球经济放缓的情况加剧,我国金管局亦跟随其他国家的脚步,放宽货币政策。事实上,我国向来以出口主导的国家,一般而言,若遇上经济低迷时期,很有可能成为首个受到冲击的国家。

近数月以来,在制造业疲软的拖累下,经济增长与出口也受到沉重打击,大幅度下滑。金融管理局(MAS)表示,将货币“略微降低”允许其货币有所浮动,从而有效使美元走软。

与其调整其利率,我国使用货币政策限制新元升值幅度,为三年来首次,惟汇率区间及中位数维持不变。

金管局表示,“过去半年中,制造业的疲软加剧,影响了GDP增长,这也反映了全球电子产品周期持续低迷,以及投资支出的缩减,其部分原因在于中美关系的不确定性。”

贸工部公布我国第三季经济的初步预估数据,整体国内生产总值(GDP)增长了仅0.1巴仙,与第二季度持平,而据7月份所公布的预估数据,第二季度的表现并不如预期。

日前贸工部曾公布我国第三季整体国内生产总值(GDP)增长0.6%,从第二季度的2.7巴仙中反弹,增长了0.1巴仙。

由于受到中美贸易关税影响,我国亦遭受打击,亦是自2008年全球金融危机爆发后,再次进入经济衰退,而作为我国重要出口之一的制造业则是下滑3.5巴仙,连续三个季度萎缩;建筑业增长2.7巴仙,服务业增长从上个季度的1.1巴仙,进一步放缓至0.9巴仙。

 

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