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GE issues – Housing a nation and why MND’s “affordability” mantra is false

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MND Under One Roof ad p2By Howard Lee

I’ll begin with a disclaimer – this article is in no way meant to cast any negative aspirations against Koh Chieng Mun and Moses Lim.

The “Under One Roof” series has received its fair share of praise and is one of the few local television products that has made it international, and both Tan Ah Teck and Dolly have been credibly in their portrayal of “Singapore’s funniest family”.

But I have issues with this attempt by the Ministry of National Development to soft-sell (or hard-sell, take it as you wish) the idea that homes in Singapore are affordable. This advertisement can be found in bus shelters and MRT station platforms island wide, and it is a tad ironic that it also sits on the North East Line, which cuts into the estates of many Singaporeans who would rightly have no reason to believe that homes in Singapore are affordable.

When we bought our Housing Development Board flat more than 10 years ago, my wife and I decided to save hard and and clear up our loan way before the “standard” 30-year loan period. We eventually did, but being this aggressive and determined also left us exhausted. The only comfort is that, without this debt, we are more at ease with job options.

HDB corporate video websiteWe have very little left now in our CPF accounts, and it was clear that the idea of “cashing in” on the flat would not work, for this is the only roof we have over the heads of our children and us. The HDB “asset” is no more than an illusion, and it is with some relief to see that MND has somewhat stopped pushing the “asset” narrative.

But it is still with much anguish that I read this advertisement, for it can only demonstrate how out of touch MND, and I dare say the current government, is with the issues that Singaporeans face on housing.

10 years ago, the only “grant” we received was the first-time buyer subsidy, and even so we have no clue if it has not already been factored into the price. Back then, a 5-room flat costs way less than S$350,000. We paid no cash, too, but we were fully aware that this would be cash-down-the-road when we eventually grow old and retire.

Even then, it was not a situation that I would deem HDB flats to be affordable. So when MND proudly proclaims that they are – and using public funds to buy such advertising space with clearly no other reason than to peddle that misconception – I could feel both eyebrows and temperature go up.

In 10 years, we have seen the cost of a like-for-like HDB flat increase by more than S$100,000, and yet our incomes have grown insignificantly to match the increase. I can only imagine that younger couples – and in the future, our own children – who are starting out on their own today would face even greater obstacles. Unlike me, cutting short the loan is no longer an option – they would have to take life-time loans, and hope they do not have to come up with cash or risk it falling short should they lose their jobs.

And they would be left with very little for retirement at the end of 30-odd years. Having children can only be an option they weigh as a financial liability – is it worth counting on them for support in old age, or better to hedge bets in this one nest egg?

Transactional as it sounds, it would have no doubt crossed the minds of many. And we wonder why Singaporeans are not producing enough babies.

NDR 2015 housingYet sadly, we see this same narrative being peddled further during PM Lee Hsien Loong’s National Day Rally last night. The magic number was “S$2,000” – the quantum of increase for both the household income ceiling in order for you to be eligible to buy a HDB home, and for you to be eligible for a Special CPF Housing Grant (SHG). The other magic number is “$20,000”, the quantum of increase for the maximum SHG to S$40,000.

These measures do not makes homes in Singapore more affordable. They just allow more Singaporeans to enter the public housing fray, putting their retirement funds on the line for a roof over their heads. The price of HDB flats will not decrease – if anything, now with an increase in “market demand”, prices could even go up (to which the PAP hopefully has the good sense not to call “asset appreciation”). Meanwhile, private property would not offer much of a competition, as they would “need” to be priced just slightly above HDB’s executive condominiums. So honestly, wither the “affordability”?

No, MND and PM Lee, homes in Singapore are not affordable. Affordability is not buying something you will pay for 30 years down the road, at possible risk to your own retirement and a future family you dare not have. Affordability is paying for something you are comfortable with today without having to bet on your future.

Khaw, minister in charge of Nparks

Khaw Boon Wan, Minister for National Development

HDB homes will also not be affordable by virtue of some grants and subsidies. True affordability comes with a serious relook at the underlying cause of high properly prices – land valuation, parcel sale price to developers, cost of production including labour, property taxes. Many of these causes have been attributed to former National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan, which the current Minister Khaw Boon Wan has done little to resolve, besides building more flats to manage demand and suppress inflation.

I do not believe that MND is that incompetent at finding the right solution, painful as it could be, to which the ruling People’s Action Party needs to bite the bullet and convince Singaporeans it is worth it in the long term. Why the hesitation and these half-hearted measures instead?

What are the alternatives, and has PAP considered them? The Singapore Democratic Party has proposed an alternative national housing plan, which includes proposals such as building non-open market HDB flats that do not factor in cost of land (the premise presumably being that cost of public housing should not be injected with commercial value). During GE2011, The Workers’ Party has also proposed for pegging the price of new HDB flats to median household incomes rather than to resale market prices, which has been shot down as a “raid on the reserves”.

Image - Wikipedia

Image – Wikipedia

Both these proposals have one thing in common – taking public housing out of the market, so that they can be truly public, rather than be subject to the sky-rocketing market forces that we see them subject to today. There is no reason why residential estates should be subject to valuations based on commercial prices, so why do it? Dare the PAP consider these alternatives, or would there be more rhetoric on “raiding the reserves”?

The fact that MND needs to run out a series of advertisements right during elections season, and the PM still going at the issue during the National Day Rally shows that a lot still needs to be done at truly managing the cost of housing. What we have now is an uneasy stalemate, but real affordability has not been achieved.

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Lim Tean criticizes Govt’s rejection of basic income report, urges Singaporeans to rethink election choices

Lim Tean, leader of Peoples Voice (PV), criticizes the government’s defensive response to the basic living income report, accusing it of avoiding reality.

He calls on citizens to assess affordability and choose MPs who can truly enhance their lives in the upcoming election.

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SINGAPORE: A recently published report, “Minimum Income Standard 2023: Household Budgets in a Time of Rising Costs,” unveils figures detailing the necessary income households require to maintain a basic standard of living, using the Minimum Income Standard (MIS) method.

The newly released study, spearheaded by Dr Ng Kok Hoe of the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy (LKYSPP) specifically focuses on working-age households in 2021 and presents the latest MIS budgets, adjusted for inflation from 2020 to 2022.

The report detailed that:

  • The “reasonable starting point” for a living wage in Singapore was S$2,906 a month.
  • A single parent with a child aged two to six required S$3,218 per month.
  • Partnered parents with two children, one aged between seven and 12 and the other between 13 and 18, required S$6,426 a month.
  • A single elderly individual required S$1,421 a month.
  • Budgets for both single and partnered parent households averaged around S$1,600 per member. Given recent price inflation, these figures have risen by up to 5% in the current report.

Singapore Govt challenges MIS 2023 report’s representation of basic needs

Regrettably, on Thursday (14 Sept), the Finance Ministry (MOF), Manpower Ministry (MOM), and Ministry of Social and Family Development (MSF) jointly issued a statement dismissing the idea suggested by the report, claiming that minimum household income requirements amid inflation “might not accurately reflect basic needs”.

Instead, they claimed that findings should be seen as “what individuals would like to have.”, and further defended their stances for the Progressive Wage Model (PWM) and other measures to uplift lower-wage workers.

The government argued that “a universal wage floor is not necessarily the best way” to ensure decent wages for lower-wage workers.

The government’s statement also questions the methodology of the Minimum Income Standards (MIS) report, highlighting limitations such as its reliance on respondent profiles and group dynamics.

“The MIS approach used is highly dependent on respondent profiles and on group dynamics. As the focus groups included higher-income participants, the conclusions may not be an accurate reflection of basic needs.”

The joint statement claimed that the MIS approach included discretionary expenditure items such as jewellery, perfumes, and overseas holidays.

Lim Tean slams Government’s response to basic living income report

In response to the government’s defensive reaction to the recent basic living income report, Lim Tean, leader of the alternative party Peoples Voice (PV), strongly criticizes the government’s apparent reluctance to confront reality, stating, “It has its head buried in the sand”.

He strongly questioned the government’s endorsement of the Progressive Wage Model (PWM) as a means to uplift the living standards of the less fortunate in Singapore, describing it as a misguided approach.

In a Facebook video on Friday (15 Sept), Lim Tean highlighted that it has become a global norm, especially in advanced and first-world countries, to establish a minimum wage, commonly referred to as a living wage.

“Everyone is entitled to a living wage, to have a decent life, It is no use boasting that you are one of the richest countries in the world that you have massive reserves, if your citizens cannot have a decent life with a decent living wage.”

Lim Tean cited his colleague, Leong Sze Hian’s calculations, which revealed a staggering 765,800 individuals in Singapore, including Permanent Residents and citizens, may not earn the recommended living wage of $2,906, as advised by the MIS report.

“If you take away the migrant workers or the foreign workers, and take away those who do not work, underage, are children you know are unemployed, and the figure is staggering, isn’t it?”

“You know you are looking at a very substantial percentage of the workforce that do not have sufficient income to meet basic needs, according to this report.”

He reiterated that the opposition parties, including the People’s Voice and the People’s Alliance, have always called for a minimum wage, a living wage which the government refuses to countenance.

Scepticism about the government’s ability to control rising costs

In a time of persistently high inflation, Lim Tean expressed skepticism about the government’s ability to control rising costs.

He cautioned against believing in predictions of imminent inflation reduction and lower interest rates below 2%, labeling them as unrealistic.

Lim Tean urged Singaporeans to assess their own affordability in these challenging times, especially with the impending GST increase.

He warned that a 1% rise in GST could lead to substantial hikes in everyday expenses, particularly food prices.

Lim Tean expressed concern that the PAP had become detached from the financial struggles of everyday Singaporeans, citing their high salaries and perceived insensitivity to the common citizen’s plight.

Lim Tean urges Singaporeans to rethink election choices

Highlighting the importance of the upcoming election, Lim Tean recommended that citizens seriously evaluate the affordability of their lives.

“If you ask yourself about affordability, you will realise that you have no choice, In the coming election, but to vote in a massive number of opposition Members of Parliament, So that they can make a difference.”

Lim Tean emphasized the need to move beyond the traditional notion of providing checks and balances and encouraged voters to consider who could genuinely improve their lives.

“To me, the choice is very simple. It is whether you decide to continue with a life, that is going to become more and more expensive: More expensive housing, higher cost of living, jobs not secure because of the massive influx of foreign workers,” he declared.

“Or you choose members of Parliament who have your interests at heart and who want to make your lives better.”

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Political observers call for review of Singapore’s criteria of Presidential candidates and propose 5 year waiting period for political leaders

Singaporean political observers express concern over the significantly higher eligibility criteria for private-sector presidential candidates compared to public-sector candidates, calling for adjustments.

Some also suggest a five year waiting period for aspiring political leaders after leaving their party before allowed to partake in the presidential election.

Notably, The Workers’ Party has earlier reiterated its position that the current qualification criteria favor PAP candidates and has called for a return to a ceremonial presidency instead of an elected one.

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While the 2023 Presidential Election in Singapore concluded on Friday (1 September), discussions concerning the fairness and equity of the electoral system persist.

Several political observers contend that the eligibility criteria for private-sector individuals running for president are disproportionately high compared to those from the public sector, and they propose that adjustments be made.

They also recommend a five-year waiting period for aspiring political leaders after leaving their party before being allowed to participate in the presidential election.

Aspiring entrepreneur George Goh Ching Wah, announced his intention to in PE 2023 in June. However, His application as a candidate was unsuccessful, he failed to receive the Certificate of Eligibility (COE) on 18 August.

Mr Goh had expressed his disappointment in a statement after the ELD’s announcement, he said, the Presidential Elections Committee (PEC) took a very narrow interpretation of the requirements without explaining the rationale behind its decision.

As per Singapore’s Constitution, individuals running for the presidency from the private sector must have a minimum of three years’ experience as a CEO in a company.

This company should have consistently maintained an average shareholders’ equity of at least S$500 million and sustained profitability.

Mr Goh had pursued eligibility through the private sector’s “deliberative track,” specifically referring to section 19(4)(b)(2) of the Singapore Constitution.

He pointed out five companies he had led for over three years, collectively claiming a shareholders’ equity of S$1.521 billion.

Notably, prior to the 2016 revisions, the PEC might have had the authority to assess Mr Goh’s application similarly to how it did for Mr Tan Jee Say in the 2011 Presidential Election.

Yet, in its current formulation, the PEC is bound by the definitions laid out in the constitution.

Calls for equitable standards across public and private sectors

According to Singapore’s Chinese media outlet, Shin Min Daily News, Dr Felix Tan Thiam Kim, a political analyst at Nanyang Technological University (NTU) Singapore, noted that in 2016, the eligibility criteria for private sector candidates were raised from requiring them to be executives of companies with a minimum capital of S$100 million to CEOs of companies with at least S$500 million in shareholder equity.

However, the eligibility criteria for public sector candidates remained unchanged. He suggests that there is room for adjusting the eligibility criteria for public sector candidates.

Associate Professor Bilver Singh, Deputy Head of the Department of Political Science at the National University of Singapore, believes that the constitutional requirements for private-sector individuals interested in running are excessively stringent.

He remarked, “I believe it is necessary to reassess the relevant regulations.”

He points out that the current regulations are more favourable for former public officials seeking office and that the private sector faces notably greater challenges.

“While it may be legally sound, it may not necessarily be equitable,” he added.

Proposed five-year waiting period for political leaders eyeing presidential race

Moreover, despite candidates severing ties with their political parties in pursuit of office, shedding their political affiliations within a short timeframe remains a challenging endeavour.

A notable instance is Mr Tharman Shanmugaratnam, who resigned from the People’s Action Party (PAP) just slightly over a month before announcing his presidential candidacy, sparking considerable debate.

During a live broadcast, his fellow contender, Ng Kok Song, who formerly served as the Chief Investment Officer of GIC, openly questioned Mr Tharman’s rapid transition to a presidential bid shortly after leaving his party and government.

Dr Felix Tan suggests that in the future, political leaders aspiring to run for the presidency should not only resign from their parties but also adhere to a mandatory waiting period of at least five years before entering the race.

Cherian George and Kevin Y.L. Tan: “illogical ” to raise the corporate threshold in 2016

Indeed, the apprehension regarding the stringent eligibility criteria and concerns about fairness in presidential candidacy requirements are not limited to political analysts interviewed by Singapore’s mainstream media.

Prior to PE2023, CCherian George, a Professor of media studies at Hong Kong Baptist University, and Kevin Y.L. Tan, an Adjunct Professor at both the Faculty of Law of the National University of Singapore and the NTU’s S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), brought attention to the challenges posed by the qualification criteria for candidates vying for the Singaporean Presidency.

In their article titled “Why Singapore’s Next Elected President Should be One of its Last,” the scholars discussed the relevance of the current presidential election system in Singapore and floated the idea of returning to an appointed President, emphasizing the symbolic and unifying role of the office.

They highlighted that businessman George Goh appeared to be pursuing the “deliberative track” for qualification, which requires candidates to satisfy the PEC that their experience and abilities are comparable to those of a typical company’s chief executive with shareholder equity of at least S$500 million.

Mr Goh cobbles together a suite of companies under his management to meet the S$500m threshold.

The article also underscored the disparities between the eligibility criteria for candidates from the public and private sectors, serving as proxies for evaluating a candidate’s experience in handling complex financial matters.

“It is hard to see what financial experience the Chairman of the Public Service Commission or for that matter, the Chief Justice has, when compared to a Minister or a corporate chief.”

“The raising of the corporate threshold in 2016 is thus illogical and serves little purpose other than to simply reduce the number of potentially eligible candidates.”

The article also touches upon the issue of candidates’ independence from political parties, particularly the ruling People’s Action Party (PAP).

It mentions that candidates are expected to be non-partisan and independent, and it questions how government-backed candidates can demonstrate their independence given their previous affiliations.

The Workers’ Party advocate for a return to a ceremonial presidency

It comes as no surprise that Singapore’s alternative party, the Workers’ Party, reaffirmed its stance on 30 August, asserting that they believe the existing qualifying criteria for presidential candidates are skewed in favour of those approved by the People’s Action Party (PAP).

They argue that the current format of the elected presidency (EP) undermines the principles of parliamentary democracy.

“It also serves as an unnecessary source of gridlock – one that could potentially cripple a non-PAP government within its first term – and is an alternative power centre that could lead to political impasses.”

Consistently, the Workers’ Party has been vocal about its objection to the elected presidency and has consistently called for its abolition.

Instead, they advocate for a return to a ceremonial presidency, a position they have maintained for over three decades.

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